Qabala 1-1 Karvan Evlakh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+1.4pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qabala EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvan Evlakh EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.56/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.48
-4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -39%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qabala
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Karvan Evlakh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.08.2025 Karvan Evlakh Karvan Evlakh 1-1 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
POST-MATCH Qabala vs Karvan Evlakh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qabala and Karvan Evlakh couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Qabala carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Qabala vs Karvan Evlakh?

Qabala 1-1 Karvan Evlakh in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qabala vs Karvan Evlakh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qabala win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Qabala 58%, draw 20%, Karvan Evlakh 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Qabala), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Qabala) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
28 Feb 2026
13:30 Shamakhi vs Neftçi PFK Analysis →