Shamakhi 2-2 Neftçi PFK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
15%
1/X
13%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
0.82/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.99
-27% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
356 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamakhi
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Neftçi PFK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-1 HT 1-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
07.04.2025 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-2 HT 0-1 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
31.01.2025 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-0 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
08.11.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 2-2 HT 2-2 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
31.08.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-0 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
12.03.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Neftçi PFK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamakhi and Neftçi PFK shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Neftçi PFK at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neftçi PFK led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Shamakhi and 1.17 for Neftçi PFK.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Neftçi PFK?

Shamakhi 2-2 Neftçi PFK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Neftçi PFK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 25%, draw 29%, Neftçi PFK 46%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
28 Feb 2026
16:00 Qabala vs Karvan Evlakh Analysis →