Dobrudzha 1919 2-1 Cherno More Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dobrudzha 1919 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 50%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.23/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.74
+34% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +33%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dobrudzha 1919
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Cherno More Varna
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2025 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 2-0 HT 1-0 Dobrudzha 1919 Dobrudzha 1919 BUL1
18.11.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 4-5 HT 0-0 Dobrudzha 1919 Dobrudzha 1919 HAZ
POST-MATCH Dobrudzha 1919 vs Cherno More Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dobrudzha 1919 edged past Cherno More Varna 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cherno More Varna at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Dobrudzha 1919 and 3.00 for Cherno More Varna.

What was the final score of Dobrudzha 1919 vs Cherno More Varna?

Dobrudzha 1919 2-1 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dobrudzha 1919 vs Cherno More Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dobrudzha 1919 28%, draw 29%, Cherno More Varna 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cherno More Varna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
28 Feb 2026
13:30 Botev Vratsa vs PFC Beroe Analysis →
18:30 Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia Analysis →