Septemvri Sofia 2-0 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
7.18
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
67%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
11%
+3.5pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.1pp
67%
Away Win
70%
-3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.8pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 75%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -27%
0.80/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.75
+4% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -8%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Septemvri Sofia
1W-0D-3L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 3-1 HT 1-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
29.03.2025 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
05.10.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-1 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
10.02.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia HAZ
FAQ Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Septemvri Sofia beat CSKA Sofia 2-0 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 28 Feb 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia lead the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 1.25 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?

Septemvri Sofia 2-0 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 14%, draw 19%, CSKA Sofia 67%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CSKA Sofia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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