CSKA Sofia 0-1 Septemvri Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.29
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
73%
-17.7pp
25%
Draw
17%
+8.1pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 12%
-20% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.67/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.13/2.13
-21% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -80% / -10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
460 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 2
10.02.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
0-1
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Septemvri Sofia edged past CSKA Sofia 1-0 away from home in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 5 Oct 2024.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 44%.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 70% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 30%, shots finished 16-6.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

CSKA Sofia 0-1 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 55%, draw 25%, Septemvri Sofia 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CSKA Sofia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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