CSKA Sofia 1-0 Septemvri Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.9pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 31%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
1-0
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 2
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia squeezed past Septemvri Sofia 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 58% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 42%, shots finished 18-5.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

CSKA Sofia 1-0 Septemvri Sofia in the Friendlies on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 44%, draw 24%, Septemvri Sofia 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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