10/02/2024
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Sparta Prag II vs Jablonec II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
28%
25%
Draw
28%
38%
Away Win
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sparta Prag II v Jablonec II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sparta Prag II
EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
Jablonec II
EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
7
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
3
312 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
358 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Sparta Prag II vs Jablonec II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sparta Prag II saw off Jablonec II 2-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Sparta Prag II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Sparta Prag II vs Jablonec II?
Sparta Prag II 2-0 Jablonec II in the Friendlies on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sparta Prag II vs Jablonec II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Jablonec II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag II 37%, draw 25%, Jablonec II 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jablonec II) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Jablonec II)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
10 Feb 2024