Motor Lublin 3-2 Polonia Warszawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.7pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.3pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motor Lublin
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 0-1 HT 0-0 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL1
29.10.2022 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 0-1 HT 0-0 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL2
POST-MATCH Motor Lublin vs Polonia Warszawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motor Lublin squeezed past Polonia Warszawa 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 33% / 36% — and on the day Motor Lublin made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Motor Lublin and 0.50 for Polonia Warszawa.

What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Polonia Warszawa?

Motor Lublin 3-2 Polonia Warszawa in the Friendlies on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motor Lublin vs Polonia Warszawa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonia Warszawa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Motor Lublin 31%, draw 33%, Polonia Warszawa 36%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Polonia Warszawa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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