CSKA Sofia 3-1 Septemvri Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
29%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
69%
-2.4pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.7pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 14%
-19% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +18%
1.71/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.89
-18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
439 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2025 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
05.10.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-1 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
10.02.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
3-1
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
6 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
Match summary & frequently asked questions

CSKA Sofia beat Septemvri Sofia 3-1 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 13 Sep 2025. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 43%.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 57% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 43%, shots finished 22-5.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia have the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.33 for Septemvri Sofia.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

CSKA Sofia 3-1 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 66%, draw 18%, Septemvri Sofia 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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