Orleans 1-1 Rouen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 28 Feb 2026

Orleans
1-1 HT 1-1
Rouen
📅28/02/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2025/2026

Orleans vs Rouen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.6
2-3 Goals
44%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
19.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.58
1/2
10%
29.0
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
13%
6.12
X/2
13%
4.99
X/X
13%
4.14
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.35
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Orleans v Rouen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orleans EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Rouen EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.26/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.96
+14% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Orleans vs Rouen Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orleans
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Rouen
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.09.2025 Rouen Rouen 1-0 HT 0-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
31.01.2025 Orleans Orleans 1-3 HT 0-1 Rouen Rouen FR3
30.08.2024 Rouen Rouen 0-2 HT 0-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
12.02.2024 Orleans Orleans 0-0 HT 0-0 Rouen Rouen FR3
01.09.2023 Rouen Rouen 2-1 HT 1-1 Orleans Orleans FR3
POST-MATCH Orleans vs Rouen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orleans and Rouen shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rouen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Orleans and 1.20 for Rouen.

What was the final score of Orleans vs Rouen?

Orleans 1-1 Rouen in the France - National League 1 on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orleans vs Rouen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rouen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Orleans 35%, draw 26%, Rouen 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rouen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rouen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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