Valenciennes vs Caen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valenciennes v Caen — Team-Based Signals
Valenciennes vs Caen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-0
Caen
FR2
2-1
HT 1-1
Valenciennes
FR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Caen
FR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Caen
FR2
Valenciennes 2-1 Caen — Actual Match Statistics
Valenciennes squeezed past Caen 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Valenciennes as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Valenciennes had 42% of the ball to Caen's 58%, shots finished 14-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caen led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Valenciennes and 1.50 for Caen.
What was the final score of Valenciennes vs Caen?
Valenciennes 2-1 Caen in the France - National League 1 on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valenciennes vs Caen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valenciennes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Valenciennes 42%, draw 27%, Caen 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valenciennes), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.