Caen 0-0 Valenciennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 19 Sep 2025

Caen
0-0 HT 0-0
Valenciennes
📅19/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
France - National League 1 – 2025/2026

Caen vs Valenciennes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.69
4-5 Goals
18%
3.93
6+ Goals
10%
18.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 34% vs market 30.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.13
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
14%
4.8
X/2
9%
6.44
X/X
18%
4.17
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
15%
4.92
2/X
8%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.9pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.6pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caen v Valenciennes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caen EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 32%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.87
-100% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +44%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.4

Caen vs Valenciennes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Valenciennes
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.46 xG 1.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 Passes 285
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.05.2024 Caen Caen 3-0 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
28.10.2023 Valenciennes Valenciennes 2-2 HT 2-0 Caen Caen FR2
18.03.2023 Caen Caen 2-1 HT 1-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
05.11.2022 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-1 HT 1-1 Caen Caen FR2
15.03.2022 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-1 HT 1-1 Caen Caen FR2
02.10.2021 Caen Caen 1-2 HT 0-2 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
POST-MATCH Caen vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caen and Valenciennes fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Caen and 1.17 for Valenciennes.

What was the final score of Caen vs Valenciennes?

Caen 0-0 Valenciennes in the France - National League 1 on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caen vs Valenciennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Caen 38%, draw 32%, Valenciennes 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Caen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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