Paris 13 Atletico 1-1 Chateauroux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.43
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
24%
4.26
6+ Goals
9%
22.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.05
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
19%
4.58
X/2
9%
6.51
X/X
14%
4.07
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
14%
5.21
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris 13 Atletico EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.02/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.57
-27% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris 13 Atletico
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Chateauroux
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 3-2 HT 2-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
01.11.2024 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 0-0 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
26.05.2023 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 2-3 HT 0-2 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
12.08.2022 Chateauroux Chateauroux 0-0 HT 0-0 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris 13 Atletico
1-1
AWAY Chateauroux
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Paris 13 Atletico vs Chateauroux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris 13 Atletico and Chateauroux shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Paris 13 Atletico at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Paris 13 Atletico had 44% of the ball to Chateauroux's 56%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Paris 13 Atletico and 1.50 for Chateauroux.

What was the final score of Paris 13 Atletico vs Chateauroux?

Paris 13 Atletico 1-1 Chateauroux in the France - National League 1 on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris 13 Atletico vs Chateauroux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris 13 Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Paris 13 Atletico 43%, draw 26%, Chateauroux 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Paris 13 Atletico), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paris 13 Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
19 Sep 2025
20:30 Stade Briochin vs Le Puy Analysis →
20:30 Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Quevilly Analysis →
20:30 Villefranche vs Sochaux Analysis →
20:30 Concarneau vs FC Fleury 91 Analysis →
20:30 Aubagne vs Versailles Analysis →
20:30 Caen vs Valenciennes Analysis →