Paris 13 Atletico 3-2 Chateauroux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.3
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.82
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.82
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.85
X/1
15%
4.34
X/2
13%
7.55
X/X
15%
3.96
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
10%
6.52
2/X
4%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris 13 Atletico EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 28%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
0.60/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.32
-58% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris 13 Atletico
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Chateauroux
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2024 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 0-0 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
26.05.2023 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 2-3 HT 0-2 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
12.08.2022 Chateauroux Chateauroux 0-0 HT 0-0 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris 13 Atletico
3-2
AWAY Chateauroux
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Paris 13 Atletico vs Chateauroux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris 13 Atletico nicked a narrow win over Chateauroux 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paris 13 Atletico as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paris 13 Atletico had 57% of the ball to Chateauroux's 43%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chateauroux led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Paris 13 Atletico and 1.33 for Chateauroux.

What was the final score of Paris 13 Atletico vs Chateauroux?

Paris 13 Atletico 3-2 Chateauroux in the France - National League 1 on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris 13 Atletico vs Chateauroux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris 13 Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Paris 13 Atletico 44%, draw 29%, Chateauroux 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris 13 Atletico) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris 13 Atletico) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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