Nancy 2-0 Le Mans FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
20.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 34% vs market 31.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.24
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
9%
5.14
X/2
14%
7.0
X/X
16%
3.91
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
12%
5.28
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.0pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.9pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nancy EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +26%
1.43/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.21
+10% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nancy
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Le Mans FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.60 xG 0.45
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
366 Passes 344
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2024 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Nancy Nancy FR3
26.04.2024 Nancy Nancy 3-6 HT 2-2 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
01.12.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-3 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FR3
17.02.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Nancy Nancy FR3
09.09.2022 Nancy Nancy 2-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
31.01.2020 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Nancy Nancy FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nancy
2-0
AWAY Le Mans FC
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nancy vs Le Mans FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy saw off Le Mans FC 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Nancy made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Nancy had 48% of the ball to Le Mans FC's 52%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nancy had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Nancy and 1.33 for Le Mans FC.

What was the final score of Nancy vs Le Mans FC?

Nancy 2-0 Le Mans FC in the France - National League 1 on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nancy vs Le Mans FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nancy 37%, draw 30%, Le Mans FC 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nancy), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nancy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
28 Mar 2025
21:30 Concarneau vs Sochaux Analysis →
21:30 Nimes vs Bourg en Bresse 01 Analysis →
21:30 Orleans vs Quevilly Analysis →
21:30 Rouen vs Dijon Analysis →
21:30 Paris 13 Atletico vs Chateauroux Analysis →
21:30 Valenciennes vs Boulogne Analysis →