Valenciennes vs Boulogne Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valenciennes v Boulogne — Team-Based Signals
Valenciennes vs Boulogne Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Boulogne
FRLK
0-2
HT 0-0
Valenciennes
FR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Boulogne
FR1
Valenciennes 2-3 Boulogne — Actual Match Statistics
Boulogne edged past Valenciennes 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Valenciennes at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Valenciennes had 67% of the ball to Boulogne's 33%, shots finished 17-12.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Valenciennes had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Valenciennes and 0.25 for Boulogne.
What was the final score of Valenciennes vs Boulogne?
Valenciennes 2-3 Boulogne in the France - National League 1 on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valenciennes vs Boulogne?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valenciennes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Valenciennes 47%, draw 28%, Boulogne 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.