Nimes 1-3 Bourg en Bresse 01 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.66
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.33
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
16%
4.7
X/2
8%
6.68
X/X
18%
3.5
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
15%
5.69
2/X
5%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.4pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.6pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nimes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 31%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.23/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.08
-6% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
250 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nimes
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
326 Passes 219
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
25 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2024 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 2-1 HT 1-0 Nimes Nimes FR3
20.04.2018 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 2-2 HT 1-1 Nimes Nimes FR2
24.11.2017 Nimes Nimes 4-0 HT 1-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR2
03.03.2017 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-1 HT 0-0 Nimes Nimes FR2
30.09.2016 Nimes Nimes 0-0 HT 0-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR2
04.03.2016 Nimes Nimes 1-1 HT 1-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nimes
1-3
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nimes vs Bourg en Bresse 01
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourg en Bresse 01 beat Nimes 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nimes at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nimes had 62% of the ball to Bourg en Bresse 01's 38%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nimes had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nimes and 0.83 for Bourg en Bresse 01.

What was the final score of Nimes vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Nimes 1-3 Bourg en Bresse 01 in the France - National League 1 on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nimes vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nimes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nimes 42%, draw 30%, Bourg en Bresse 01 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nimes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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