Bourg en Bresse 01 2-1 Nimes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 1 Nov 2024

Bourg en Bresse 01
2-1 HT 1-0
Nimes
📅01/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Nimes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.44
Over 2.5
44%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.19
No
47%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.02
2-3 Goals
46%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
6.5
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.35
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
14.9
X/1
9%
5.29
X/2
12%
5.11
X/X
17%
3.3
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
4.14
2/X
4%
14.9
Value flag · 1/X at 14.9 — our 12% vs market 3.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-6.5pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.0pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
66%
-10.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
34%
+10.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+11.4pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bourg en Bresse 01 v Nimes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Nimes EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.04/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.30
-16% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
280 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0

Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Nimes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Nimes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
219 Passes 326
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.04.2018 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 2-2 HT 1-1 Nimes Nimes FR2
24.11.2017 Nimes Nimes 4-0 HT 1-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR2
03.03.2017 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-1 HT 0-0 Nimes Nimes FR2
30.09.2016 Nimes Nimes 0-0 HT 0-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR2
04.03.2016 Nimes Nimes 1-1 HT 1-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR2
16.10.2015 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 4-2 HT 1-0 Nimes Nimes FR2
POST-MATCH Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Nimes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourg en Bresse 01 squeezed past Nimes 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (28% / 33% / 39%) promised a tight game; Bourg en Bresse 01 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nimes led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bourg en Bresse 01 and 1.67 for Nimes.

What was the final score of Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Nimes?

Bourg en Bresse 01 2-1 Nimes in the France - National League 1 on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Nimes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nimes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bourg en Bresse 01 28%, draw 33%, Nimes 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nimes), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nimes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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