01/11/2024
·
21:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Sochaux vs Concarneau Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
27%
Draw
28%
39%
Away Win
28%
51%
Under 2.5
55%
49%
Over 2.5
45%
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
50%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sochaux v Concarneau — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sochaux
EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY
Concarneau
EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+12% /
+7%
1.56/1.30
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.75/1.50
+10%
/
-21%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+54%
/
-17%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
322 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
372 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.8
Yellow Cards
1.8
POST-MATCH
Sochaux vs Concarneau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sochaux edged past Concarneau 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Sochaux made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Sochaux vs Concarneau?
Sochaux 1-0 Concarneau in the France - National League 1 on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sochaux vs Concarneau?
Before kick-off our model rated an Concarneau win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sochaux 34%, draw 27%, Concarneau 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Concarneau) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Concarneau)
✓ Under 2.5
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1 Nov 2024