Chateauroux 1-1 Paris 13 Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.99
6+ Goals
7%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.22
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
11%
4.54
X/2
13%
6.34
X/X
21%
3.79
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
12%
5.14
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.4pp
35%
Draw
30%
+5.3pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.30/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.69
-1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2023 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 2-3 HT 0-2 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
12.08.2022 Chateauroux Chateauroux 0-0 HT 0-0 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Paris 13 Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chateauroux and Paris 13 Atletico shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 35% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chateauroux had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chateauroux and 1.00 for Paris 13 Atletico.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Paris 13 Atletico?

Chateauroux 1-1 Paris 13 Atletico in the France - National League 1 on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Paris 13 Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chateauroux win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 35%, draw 35%, Paris 13 Atletico 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/35/30) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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