Concarneau 1-1 Sochaux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
19.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.58
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
14%
5.35
X/2
11%
6.19
X/X
16%
4.13
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
16%
4.49
2/X
8%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sochaux EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.34/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.47
+3% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
422 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Concarneau
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sochaux
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.11.2024 Sochaux Sochaux 1-0 HT 1-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Concarneau
1-1
AWAY Sochaux
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Sochaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concarneau and Sochaux couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Concarneau had 51% of the ball to Sochaux's 49%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Sochaux?

Concarneau 1-1 Sochaux in the France - National League 1 on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Sochaux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Concarneau win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 37%, draw 30%, Sochaux 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Concarneau), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Concarneau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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