Stade Briochin 1-2 Le Puy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.69
4-5 Goals
18%
4.08
6+ Goals
7%
20.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.53 — our 37% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.96
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
15%
5.54
X/2
8%
5.45
X/X
18%
4.01
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
17%
3.87
2/X
8%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.6pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.7pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Briochin EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Puy EU Bookmakers 39%
+6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
0.81/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.15/1.43
-35% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -88% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Briochin
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Le Puy
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2023 Le Puy Le Puy 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin FR3
09.09.2022 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin 0-1 HT 0-0 Le Puy Le Puy FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Briochin
1-2
AWAY Le Puy
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stade Briochin vs Le Puy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Puy squeezed past Stade Briochin 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Le Puy made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stade Briochin had 52% of the ball to Le Puy's 48%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Le Puy led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Stade Briochin and 0.50 for Le Puy.

What was the final score of Stade Briochin vs Le Puy?

Stade Briochin 1-2 Le Puy in the France - National League 1 on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Briochin vs Le Puy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Briochin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stade Briochin 37%, draw 32%, Le Puy 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stade Briochin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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