Villefranche 1-0 Sochaux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.99
No
45%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.52
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.71
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
9%
14.65
X/1
10%
6.92
X/2
9%
4.5
X/X
14%
3.86
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.95
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
46%
+8.3pp
45%
BTTS No
54%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sochaux EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.88/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.70
-26% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +69%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
242 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villefranche
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Sochaux
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2025 Villefranche Villefranche 0-1 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
22.11.2024 Sochaux Sochaux 2-1 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
30.03.2024 Villefranche Villefranche 2-2 HT 1-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
20.10.2023 Sochaux Sochaux 3-3 HT 2-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villefranche
1-0
AWAY Sochaux
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Sochaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villefranche edged past Sochaux 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sochaux at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Villefranche had 47% of the ball to Sochaux's 53%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sochaux led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Villefranche and 2.00 for Sochaux.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Sochaux?

Villefranche 1-0 Sochaux in the France - National League 1 on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Sochaux?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 30%, draw 29%, Sochaux 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sochaux), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sochaux) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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