Villefranche 0-1 Sochaux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
37%
2.88
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.6
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.38 — our 36% vs market 34.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.29
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
9%
5.94
X/2
17%
5.71
X/X
22%
3.67
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
11%
4.04
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-6.0pp
37%
Draw
31%
+5.9pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sochaux EU Bookmakers 38%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.19/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.40
-2% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villefranche
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Sochaux
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2024 Sochaux Sochaux 2-1 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
30.03.2024 Villefranche Villefranche 2-2 HT 1-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
20.10.2023 Sochaux Sochaux 3-3 HT 2-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villefranche
0-1
AWAY Sochaux
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Sochaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sochaux edged past Villefranche 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 37% / 35% — and on the day Sochaux made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Villefranche had 52% of the ball to Sochaux's 48%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sochaux led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Villefranche and 2.33 for Sochaux.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Sochaux?

Villefranche 0-1 Sochaux in the France - National League 1 on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Sochaux?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 28%, draw 37%, Sochaux 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
11 Apr 2025
20:30 Nancy vs Chateauroux Analysis →
20:30 Valenciennes vs Quevilly Analysis →
20:30 Concarneau vs Boulogne Analysis →
20:30 Versailles vs Dijon Analysis →
20:30 Aubagne vs Paris 13 Atletico Analysis →
20:30 Orleans vs Le Mans FC Analysis →