Concarneau 1-1 Boulogne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 11 Apr 2025

Concarneau
1-1 HT 0-1
Boulogne
📅11/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Concarneau vs Boulogne Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.81
6+ Goals
8%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.96
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
12%
5.74
X/2
13%
5.68
X/X
8%
4.31
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
24%
3.9
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.4pp
41%
Away Win
35%
+6.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Concarneau v Boulogne — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Boulogne EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.31/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.22
+9% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Concarneau vs Boulogne Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Concarneau
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Boulogne
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.11.2024 Boulogne Boulogne 2-1 HT 2-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
29.04.2022 Boulogne Boulogne 1-0 HT 1-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
10.12.2021 Concarneau Concarneau 1-0 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
30.03.2021 Concarneau Concarneau 0-0 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
09.10.2020 Boulogne Boulogne 1-1 HT 1-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
31.01.2020 Concarneau Concarneau 0-2 HT 0-1 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Boulogne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concarneau and Boulogne couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Boulogne at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boulogne led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Concarneau and 1.00 for Boulogne.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Boulogne?

Concarneau 1-1 Boulogne in the France - National League 1 on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Boulogne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boulogne win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 35%, draw 24%, Boulogne 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Boulogne), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boulogne) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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