Aubagne 1-1 Paris 13 Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.48
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
23.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
23%
4.41
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
12%
5.93
X/2
11%
5.34
X/X
16%
3.97
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
15%
3.75
2/X
6%
13.55
Value flag · 1/1 at 4.41 — our 23% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+5.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubagne EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.20/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.66
-1% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubagne
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2024 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 1-0 HT 0-0 Aubagne Aubagne FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aubagne
1-1
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 2
0 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Aubagne vs Paris 13 Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubagne and Paris 13 Atletico couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Aubagne had 46% of the ball to Paris 13 Atletico's 54%, shots finished 5-2.

What was the final score of Aubagne vs Paris 13 Atletico?

Aubagne 1-1 Paris 13 Atletico in the France - National League 1 on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubagne vs Paris 13 Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aubagne win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aubagne 40%, draw 29%, Paris 13 Atletico 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aubagne), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aubagne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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