Paris 13 Atletico 1-0 Aubagne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.18
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.43
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.05
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.28
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.2
X/1
5%
4.63
X/2
12%
6.42
X/X
18%
3.81
2/1
5%
32.0
2/2
16%
5.2
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.8pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.6pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris 13 Atletico EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubagne EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
0.52/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-60% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris 13 Atletico
1-0
AWAY Aubagne
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris 13 Atletico nicked a narrow win over Aubagne 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 34% — and on the day Paris 13 Atletico made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Paris 13 Atletico had 48% of the ball to Aubagne's 52%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne?

Paris 13 Atletico 1-0 Aubagne in the France - National League 1 on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aubagne win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Paris 13 Atletico 32%, draw 34%, Aubagne 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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