Le Mans FC 0-2 Orleans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.28
6+ Goals
7%
21.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 37% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.9
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
15%
5.44
X/2
15%
5.49
X/X
18%
4.16
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
11%
3.95
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.2pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.8pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.9pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Orleans EU Bookmakers 38%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
0.89/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.93
-28% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Mans FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Orleans
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2024 Orleans Orleans 2-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC HAZ
16.02.2024 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
11.09.2023 Orleans Orleans 1-3 HT 1-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
10.05.2023 Orleans Orleans 0-1 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
16.12.2022 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
01.04.2022 Orleans Orleans 2-1 HT 2-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
POST-MATCH Le Mans FC vs Orleans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orleans got the better of Le Mans FC 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; Orleans found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Le Mans FC and 1.00 for Orleans.

What was the final score of Le Mans FC vs Orleans?

Le Mans FC 0-2 Orleans in the France - National League 1 on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Mans FC vs Orleans?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Le Mans FC 35%, draw 33%, Orleans 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Le Mans FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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