Quevilly 2-0 Valenciennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.22
6+ Goals
11%
20.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 32% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.29
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.5
X/1
11%
4.87
X/2
9%
6.32
X/X
9%
4.18
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
12%
4.75
2/X
9%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quevilly EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.42/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.50
+9% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quevilly
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Valenciennes
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.04 xG 0.83
55% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
328 Passes 261
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2024 Valenciennes Valenciennes 2-1 HT 2-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
25.11.2023 Quevilly Quevilly 0-0 HT 0-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
04.03.2023 Quevilly Quevilly 1-1 HT 0-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
20.08.2022 Valenciennes Valenciennes 0-0 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
19.02.2022 Quevilly Quevilly 1-1 HT 1-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
11.09.2021 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-2 HT 1-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
POST-MATCH Quevilly vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quevilly got the better of Valenciennes 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Quevilly as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Quevilly and 0.83 for Valenciennes.

What was the final score of Quevilly vs Valenciennes?

Quevilly 2-0 Valenciennes in the France - National League 1 on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quevilly vs Valenciennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quevilly win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Quevilly 43%, draw 29%, Valenciennes 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Quevilly), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Quevilly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
22 Nov 2024
21:30 Sochaux vs Villefranche Analysis →
21:30 Chateauroux vs Nancy Analysis →
21:30 Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne Analysis →
21:30 Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Rouen Analysis →
21:30 Dijon vs Versailles Analysis →
21:30 Le Mans FC vs Orleans Analysis →