Sochaux 2-1 Villefranche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.61
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
4.62
6+ Goals
8%
24.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 33% vs market 32.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.46
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.75
X/1
15%
3.89
X/2
9%
8.59
X/X
15%
4.32
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
10%
7.37
2/X
8%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sochaux EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Villefranche EU Bookmakers 24%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
0.97/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.43
-41% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sochaux
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Villefranche
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Villefranche Villefranche 2-2 HT 1-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
20.10.2023 Sochaux Sochaux 3-3 HT 2-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
POST-MATCH Sochaux vs Villefranche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sochaux nicked a narrow win over Villefranche 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sochaux as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sochaux and 2.50 for Villefranche.

What was the final score of Sochaux vs Villefranche?

Sochaux 2-1 Villefranche in the France - National League 1 on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sochaux vs Villefranche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sochaux 46%, draw 29%, Villefranche 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sochaux) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sochaux) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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