Chateauroux 0-2 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 22 Nov 2024

Chateauroux
0-2 HT 0-0
Nancy
📅22/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Chateauroux vs Nancy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
48%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.74
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.36
6+ Goals
10%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.55
1/2
5%
27.5
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
16.45
X/1
6%
8.94
X/2
16%
3.89
X/X
12%
4.46
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.38
2/X
8%
15.55
Value flag · 1/X at 16.45 — our 9% vs market 3.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+1.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chateauroux v Nancy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 56%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.65/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.48
+44% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +109%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.0

Chateauroux vs Nancy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Nancy
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.82 xG 2.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
286 Passes 326
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.05.2024 Nancy Nancy 1-3 HT 0-3 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
12.01.2024 Chateauroux Chateauroux 0-1 HT 0-1 Nancy Nancy FR3
17.03.2023 Nancy Nancy 0-1 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
12.10.2022 Chateauroux Chateauroux 3-1 HT 0-0 Nancy Nancy FR3
27.02.2021 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-4 HT 0-2 Nancy Nancy FR2
31.10.2020 Nancy Nancy 2-1 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy beat Chateauroux 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nancy as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chateauroux and 1.50 for Nancy.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Nancy?

Chateauroux 0-2 Nancy in the France - National League 1 on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 23%, draw 29%, Nancy 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nancy), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nancy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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