Chateauroux 0-1 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
5.0
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.26
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
14%
4.56
X/2
11%
6.27
X/X
20%
3.7
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
15%
5.09
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.0pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.6pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.21/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.25
-8% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
257 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Nancy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 2.42
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
290 Passes 341
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.03.2023 Nancy Nancy 0-1 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
12.10.2022 Chateauroux Chateauroux 3-1 HT 0-0 Nancy Nancy FR3
27.02.2021 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-4 HT 0-2 Nancy Nancy FR2
31.10.2020 Nancy Nancy 2-1 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
13.12.2019 Nancy Nancy 2-1 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
08.02.2019 Nancy Nancy 0-1 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy edged past Chateauroux 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Nancy made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chateauroux and 1.50 for Nancy.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Nancy?

Chateauroux 0-1 Nancy in the France - National League 1 on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chateauroux win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 36%, draw 32%, Nancy 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chateauroux) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chateauroux) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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