Le Mans FC 0-2 Niort — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 12 Jan 2024

Le Mans FC
0-2 HT 0-1
Niort
📅12/01/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2023/2024

Le Mans FC vs Niort Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
23.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.86
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
11%
14.6
X/1
13%
4.22
X/2
15%
6.75
X/X
9%
4.19
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
7%
5.5
2/X
8%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.6pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Le Mans FC v Niort — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Niort EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.37/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.85
-4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3

Le Mans FC vs Niort Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Mans FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Niort
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.81 xG 0.87
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
308 Passes 415
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.10.2019 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Niort Niort FR2
22.02.2013 Niort Niort 2-3 HT 2-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
21.09.2012 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Niort Niort FR2
01.11.2007 Niort Niort 0-3 HT 0-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FRLK
13.05.2005 Niort Niort 0-3 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
03.12.2004 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Niort Niort FR2

Le Mans FC 0-2 Niort — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Mans FC
0-2
AWAY Niort
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Le Mans FC vs Niort
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niort saw off Le Mans FC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Le Mans FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Le Mans FC had 52% of the ball to Niort's 48%, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Mans FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Le Mans FC and 0.67 for Niort.

What was the final score of Le Mans FC vs Niort?

Le Mans FC 0-2 Niort in the France - National League 1 on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Mans FC vs Niort?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Le Mans FC 42%, draw 28%, Niort 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Le Mans FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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