Martigues 3-1 Dijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 12 Jan 2024

Martigues
3-1 HT 1-0
Dijon
📅12/01/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2023/2024

Martigues vs Dijon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.6
Over 2.5
35%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.99
No
64%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.4
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.81
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.4 — our 39% vs market 34.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.25
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
15%
4.55
X/2
9%
6.16
X/X
19%
3.84
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
17%
4.96
2/X
5%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
46%
-10.0pp
64%
BTTS No
54%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Martigues v Dijon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Martigues EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon EU Bookmakers 32%
+19% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.05/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.24
+59% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.0
POST-MATCH Martigues vs Dijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Martigues got the better of Dijon 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Martigues found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Martigues vs Dijon?

Martigues 3-1 Dijon in the France - National League 1 on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Martigues vs Dijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Martigues win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Martigues 38%, draw 30%, Dijon 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Martigues) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Martigues) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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