Avranches vs Cholet Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avranches v Cholet — Team-Based Signals
Avranches vs Cholet Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Cholet
FR3
3-0
HT 0-1
Avranches
FR3
0-2
HT 0-2
Cholet
FR3
1-1
HT 1-1
Avranches
FR3
1-0
HT 1-0
Avranches
FR3
3-1
HT 2-1
Cholet
FR3
Avranches 2-1 Cholet — Actual Match Statistics
Avranches squeezed past Cholet 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Avranches as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Avranches had 64% of the ball to Cholet's 36%, shots finished 13-2.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cholet led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Avranches and 1.50 for Cholet.
What was the final score of Avranches vs Cholet?
Avranches 2-1 Cholet in the France - National League 1 on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avranches vs Cholet?
Before kick-off our model rated a Avranches win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Avranches 47%, draw 22%, Cholet 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avranches) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.