Rouen 1-0 Marignane GCB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
8%
17.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 31% vs market 28.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.08
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
4%
16.3
X/1
15%
3.64
X/2
12%
10.35
X/X
19%
4.82
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
5%
8.78
2/X
6%
17.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.9pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rouen EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Marignane GCB EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.55/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.68
+35% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rouen
1-0
AWAY Marignane GCB
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rouen vs Marignane GCB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rouen edged past Marignane GCB 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rouen as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Rouen had 47% of the ball to Marignane GCB's 53%, shots finished 7-9.

What was the final score of Rouen vs Marignane GCB?

Rouen 1-0 Marignane GCB in the France - National League 1 on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rouen vs Marignane GCB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rouen win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Rouen 50%, draw 29%, Marignane GCB 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rouen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rouen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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