Villefranche 1-0 Epinal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.19
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 26% vs market 25.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.28
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.7
X/1
23%
3.96
X/2
8%
8.78
X/X
12%
4.88
2/1
8%
23.85
2/2
7%
6.92
2/X
9%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Epinal EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.68/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.35
-1% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -38%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
433 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villefranche
1-0
AWAY Epinal
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Epinal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villefranche edged past Epinal 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Villefranche as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Villefranche had 51% of the ball to Epinal's 49%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Epinal?

Villefranche 1-0 Epinal in the France - National League 1 on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Epinal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villefranche win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 51%, draw 28%, Epinal 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villefranche), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Villefranche) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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