Nancy 1-3 Chateauroux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 10 May 2024

Nancy
1-3 HT 0-3
Chateauroux
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2023/2024

Nancy vs Chateauroux Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.24
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
7%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 29% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.24
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
10%
4.91
X/2
15%
5.99
X/X
14%
4.69
2/1
11%
26.5
2/2
16%
4.27
2/X
5%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+6.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nancy v Chateauroux — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nancy EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 36%
-14% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +3%
1.49/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.12
+16% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Nancy vs Chateauroux Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nancy
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Chateauroux
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.84 xG 0.82
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
349 Passes 265
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.01.2024 Chateauroux Chateauroux 0-1 HT 0-1 Nancy Nancy FR3
17.03.2023 Nancy Nancy 0-1 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
12.10.2022 Chateauroux Chateauroux 3-1 HT 0-0 Nancy Nancy FR3
27.02.2021 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-4 HT 0-2 Nancy Nancy FR2
31.10.2020 Nancy Nancy 2-1 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
13.12.2019 Nancy Nancy 2-1 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2

Nancy 1-3 Chateauroux — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nancy
1-3
AWAY Chateauroux
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nancy vs Chateauroux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chateauroux beat Nancy 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Chateauroux found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nancy had 58% of the ball to Chateauroux's 42%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nancy had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nancy and 1.17 for Chateauroux.

What was the final score of Nancy vs Chateauroux?

Nancy 1-3 Chateauroux in the France - National League 1 on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nancy vs Chateauroux?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chateauroux win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nancy 37%, draw 25%, Chateauroux 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chateauroux) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chateauroux) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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