Dijon 3-2 Martigues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.8
Over 2.5
38%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.1
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.78
6+ Goals
8%
16.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 32% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.64
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
14%
5.34
X/2
9%
5.64
X/X
12%
4.39
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
15%
3.93
2/X
10%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.3pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Martigues EU Bookmakers 38%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.33/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.08
+3% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Martigues
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
12.01.2024 Martigues Martigues 3-1 HT 1-0 Dijon Dijon FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon
3-2
AWAY Martigues
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dijon vs Martigues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon squeezed past Martigues 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Dijon made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dijon had 46% of the ball to Martigues's 54%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of Dijon vs Martigues?

Dijon 3-2 Martigues in the France - National League 1 on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon vs Martigues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dijon win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dijon 39%, draw 29%, Martigues 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dijon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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