Nimes 4-2 Sochaux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 10 May 2024

Nimes
4-2 HT 2-0
Sochaux
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2023/2024

Nimes vs Sochaux Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 31% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.32
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
5%
12.15
X/1
14%
5.28
X/2
13%
6.33
X/X
16%
4.39
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
15%
4.3
2/X
9%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.7pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nimes v Sochaux — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nimes EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sochaux EU Bookmakers 34%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.09/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.29
-17% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Nimes vs Sochaux Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nimes
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sochaux
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.53 xG 1.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
327 Passes 393
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.01.2024 Sochaux Sochaux 1-0 HT 1-0 Nimes Nimes FR3
02.06.2023 Nimes Nimes 3-1 HT 1-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
17.09.2022 Sochaux Sochaux 3-1 HT 2-1 Nimes Nimes FR2
16.04.2022 Nimes Nimes 1-3 HT 1-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
06.11.2021 Sochaux Sochaux 0-1 HT 0-0 Nimes Nimes FR2
13.04.2018 Nimes Nimes 0-2 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR2

Nimes 4-2 Sochaux — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nimes
4-2
AWAY Sochaux
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nimes vs Sochaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nimes saw off Sochaux 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Nimes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nimes had 51% of the ball to Sochaux's 49%, shots finished 12-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sochaux led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nimes and 1.67 for Sochaux.

What was the final score of Nimes vs Sochaux?

Nimes 4-2 Sochaux in the France - National League 1 on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nimes vs Sochaux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nimes win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nimes 36%, draw 29%, Sochaux 36%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/29/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
10 May 2024
22:00 Versailles vs Monts dOr Azergues Analysis →
22:00 Niort vs Le Mans FC Analysis →
22:00 Epinal vs Villefranche Analysis →
22:00 Nancy vs Chateauroux Analysis →
22:00 Marignane GCB vs Rouen Analysis →
22:00 Dijon vs Martigues Analysis →