10/05/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Marignane GCB vs Rouen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04
— our 31% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
22%
Draw
27%
40%
Away Win
36%
55%
Under 2.5
52%
45%
Over 2.5
48%
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
53%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marignane GCB v Rouen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Marignane GCB
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Rouen
EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% /
-9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+3% /
+3%
1.51/1.34
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.12/0.90
+24%
/
-13%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-7%
/
+29%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
10
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
256 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
313 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
1.5
Marignane GCB vs Rouen Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Marignane GCB
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Rouen
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
53%
Ball Possession
47%
9
Total Shots
7
3
Shots on Target
3
1
Corners
1
3
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Marignane GCB vs Rouen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Marignane GCB beat Rouen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Marignane GCB made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Marignane GCB vs Rouen?
Marignane GCB 2-0 Rouen in the France - National League 1 on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marignane GCB vs Rouen?
Before kick-off our model rated an Rouen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Marignane GCB 38%, draw 22%, Rouen 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rouen) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Rouen)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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More France - National League 1
10 May 2024