Marignane GCB 2-0 Rouen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.83
6+ Goals
6%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 31% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.84
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
14%
5.45
X/2
11%
5.3
X/X
9%
4.48
2/1
4%
30.5
2/2
23%
3.69
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.3pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.4pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marignane GCB EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rouen EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.51/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.90
+24% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marignane GCB
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rouen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.01.2024 Rouen Rouen 1-0 HT 0-0 Marignane GCB Marignane GCB FR3
POST-MATCH Marignane GCB vs Rouen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marignane GCB beat Rouen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Marignane GCB made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Marignane GCB vs Rouen?

Marignane GCB 2-0 Rouen in the France - National League 1 on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marignane GCB vs Rouen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rouen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Marignane GCB 38%, draw 22%, Rouen 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rouen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rouen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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