Epinal 1-2 Villefranche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 10 May 2024

Epinal
1-2 HT 0-2
Villefranche
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2023/2024

Epinal vs Villefranche Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 28% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.97
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
9%
12.75
X/1
13%
5.9
X/2
7%
5.37
X/X
15%
4.6
2/1
5%
29.5
2/2
23%
3.46
2/X
5%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Epinal v Villefranche — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Epinal EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Villefranche EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.54/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.80
+26% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +51%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Epinal vs Villefranche Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Epinal
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Villefranche
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.01.2024 Villefranche Villefranche 1-0 HT 1-0 Epinal Epinal FR3

Epinal 1-2 Villefranche — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Epinal
1-2
AWAY Villefranche
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Epinal vs Villefranche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villefranche nicked a narrow win over Epinal 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Villefranche found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Epinal had 47% of the ball to Villefranche's 53%, shots finished 11-19.

What was the final score of Epinal vs Villefranche?

Epinal 1-2 Villefranche in the France - National League 1 on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Epinal vs Villefranche?

Before kick-off our model rated an Villefranche win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Epinal 33%, draw 29%, Villefranche 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villefranche), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Villefranche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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