Niort 2-0 Le Mans FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 10 May 2024

Niort
2-0 HT 0-0
Le Mans FC
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2023/2024

Niort vs Le Mans FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.55
No
53%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.1
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.06
6+ Goals
9%
9.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.1 — our 26% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.46
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
14%
4.42
X/2
8%
7.98
X/X
15%
5.38
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
11%
5.59
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.8pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.6pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Niort v Le Mans FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niort EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
2.24/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.32
+41% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Niort vs Le Mans FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niort
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Le Mans FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.87 xG 0.81
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
415 Passes 308
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
8 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
12.01.2024 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Niort Niort FR3
25.10.2019 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Niort Niort FR2
22.02.2013 Niort Niort 2-3 HT 2-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
21.09.2012 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Niort Niort FR2
01.11.2007 Niort Niort 0-3 HT 0-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FRLK
13.05.2005 Niort Niort 0-3 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2

Niort 2-0 Le Mans FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Niort
2-0
AWAY Le Mans FC
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Niort vs Le Mans FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niort saw off Le Mans FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Niort as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Niort had 47% of the ball to Le Mans FC's 53%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Mans FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Niort and 2.00 for Le Mans FC.

What was the final score of Niort vs Le Mans FC?

Niort 2-0 Le Mans FC in the France - National League 1 on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niort vs Le Mans FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niort win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Niort 42%, draw 29%, Le Mans FC 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Niort), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Niort) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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