Villefranche 2-2 Sochaux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.02
6+ Goals
9%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 33% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.58
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
12%
5.26
X/2
15%
5.86
X/X
15%
4.12
2/1
5%
30.0
2/2
14%
4.18
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.1pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sochaux EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.32/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.54
+1% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
341 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villefranche
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sochaux
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
20.10.2023 Sochaux Sochaux 3-3 HT 2-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villefranche
2-2
AWAY Sochaux
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Sochaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villefranche and Sochaux couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Villefranche had 55% of the ball to Sochaux's 45%, shots finished 11-18.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Sochaux?

Villefranche 2-2 Sochaux in the France - National League 1 on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Sochaux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villefranche win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 37%, draw 28%, Sochaux 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Villefranche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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