Valenciennes 2-1 Quevilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
11%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.38
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
11%
6.95
X/2
13%
4.4
X/X
16%
4.4
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.84
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
42%
Away Win
42%
+0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Quevilly EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.07/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.01
+10% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +73%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
17.1 Crosses 14.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valenciennes
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Quevilly
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 0.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
255 Passes 300
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Quevilly Quevilly 0-0 HT 0-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
04.03.2023 Quevilly Quevilly 1-1 HT 0-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
20.08.2022 Valenciennes Valenciennes 0-0 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
19.02.2022 Quevilly Quevilly 1-1 HT 1-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
11.09.2021 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-2 HT 1-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
27.04.2018 Quevilly Quevilly 2-2 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valenciennes
2-1
AWAY Quevilly
0.34 xG 1.47
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
305 Passes 451
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
4 Box Touches 31
6 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valenciennes vs Quevilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valenciennes nicked a narrow win over Quevilly 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Quevilly at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valenciennes had 42% of the ball to Quevilly's 58%, shots finished 4-18, expected goals 0.34 to 1.47 — on chances, Quevilly could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Quevilly led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Valenciennes and 1.00 for Quevilly.

What was the final score of Valenciennes vs Quevilly?

Valenciennes 2-1 Quevilly in the France - Ligue 2 on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valenciennes vs Quevilly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Quevilly win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Valenciennes 29%, draw 29%, Quevilly 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Quevilly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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