Paris FC 2-1 Guingamp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.03
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.86
6+ Goals
8%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 31% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.26
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
16%
4.98
X/2
11%
6.29
X/X
14%
4.24
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
14%
4.54
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.45/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.22
+12% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
17.0 Crosses 17.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Guingamp
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.44 xG 0.77
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
412 Passes 347
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Guingamp Guingamp 0-1 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
04.03.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
13.08.2022 Guingamp Guingamp 0-0 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
19.02.2022 Guingamp Guingamp 1-1 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
11.09.2021 Paris FC Paris FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
24.04.2021 Guingamp Guingamp 0-0 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC
2-1
AWAY Guingamp
1.53 xG 1.79
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
460 Passes 320
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paris FC vs Guingamp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC nicked a narrow win over Guingamp 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paris FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paris FC had 57% of the ball to Guingamp's 43%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.53 to 1.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Paris FC and 0.67 for Guingamp.

What was the final score of Paris FC vs Guingamp?

Paris FC 2-1 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC vs Guingamp?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Paris FC 42%, draw 27%, Guingamp 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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