Concarneau 4-2 Bordeaux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 10 May 2024

Concarneau
4-2 HT 1-1
Bordeaux
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2023/2024

Concarneau vs Bordeaux Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.92
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
8%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 26% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.12
1/2
13%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
13%
6.29
X/2
12%
5.27
X/X
11%
4.9
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
18%
3.21
2/X
6%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Concarneau v Bordeaux — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bordeaux EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -23%
1.15/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.24
+8% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
22.9 Crosses 18.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Concarneau vs Bordeaux Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Concarneau
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bordeaux
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.59 xG 2.32
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
439 Passes 457
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.08.2023 Bordeaux Bordeaux 1-0 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR2

Concarneau 4-2 Bordeaux — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Concarneau
4-2
AWAY Bordeaux
2.64 xG 0.96
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
436 Passes 467
90% Pass Accuracy 89%
27 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Bordeaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concarneau saw off Bordeaux 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bordeaux at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Concarneau had 48% of the ball to Bordeaux's 52%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.64 to 0.96.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Bordeaux?

Concarneau 4-2 Bordeaux in the France - Ligue 2 on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Bordeaux?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bordeaux win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 34%, draw 24%, Bordeaux 42%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bordeaux) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bordeaux) ✓ Over 2.5
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