Ajaccio 1-2 Grenoble — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 10 May 2024

Ajaccio
1-2 HT 0-1
Grenoble
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2023/2024

Ajaccio vs Grenoble Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.83
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.17
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.0
X/1
16%
4.54
X/2
9%
6.43
X/X
11%
3.86
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
10%
5.18
2/X
9%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ajaccio v Grenoble — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Grenoble EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.10/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.29
+4% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
18.9 Crosses 16.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Ajaccio vs Grenoble Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajaccio
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Grenoble
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.17 xG 0.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
344 Passes 318
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 0-3 HT 0-2 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
07.05.2022 Grenoble Grenoble 1-1 HT 1-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
21.12.2021 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
30.01.2021 Ajaccio Ajaccio 2-1 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
19.09.2020 Grenoble Grenoble 2-0 HT 1-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
10.01.2020 Ajaccio Ajaccio 3-1 HT 1-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2

Ajaccio 1-2 Grenoble — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajaccio
1-2
AWAY Grenoble
1.58 xG 2.93
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
369 Passes 300
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 25
26 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ajaccio vs Grenoble
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grenoble nicked a narrow win over Ajaccio 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ajaccio at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ajaccio had 54% of the ball to Grenoble's 46%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.58 to 2.93 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Grenoble's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajaccio had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ajaccio and 0.83 for Grenoble.

What was the final score of Ajaccio vs Grenoble?

Ajaccio 1-2 Grenoble in the France - Ligue 2 on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajaccio vs Grenoble?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajaccio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ajaccio 44%, draw 30%, Grenoble 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ajaccio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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