Orleans 1-2 Le Mans FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 11 Apr 2025

Orleans
1-2 HT 0-0
Le Mans FC
📅11/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2025/2026

Orleans vs Le Mans FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.44
6+ Goals
12%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.51
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
13%
6.07
X/2
12%
5.37
X/X
16%
3.86
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
18%
3.73
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.3
Value flag · 2/X at 13.3 — our 11% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.7pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.5pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Orleans v Le Mans FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orleans EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +20%
1.24/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.01
+3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Orleans vs Le Mans FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orleans
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Le Mans FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.11.2024 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Orleans Orleans FR3
02.08.2024 Orleans Orleans 2-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC HAZ
16.02.2024 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
11.09.2023 Orleans Orleans 1-3 HT 1-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
10.05.2023 Orleans Orleans 0-1 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
16.12.2022 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
POST-MATCH Orleans vs Le Mans FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC squeezed past Orleans 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Le Mans FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Orleans and 1.00 for Le Mans FC.

What was the final score of Orleans vs Le Mans FC?

Orleans 1-2 Le Mans FC in the France - National League 1 on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orleans vs Le Mans FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Orleans 32%, draw 32%, Le Mans FC 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Mans FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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