Versailles 2-3 Dijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.56
Over 2.5
35%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
14%
4.81
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.3 — our 39% vs market 35.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.85
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
10%
5.28
X/2
13%
5.81
X/X
20%
3.8
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.45
2/X
7%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.6pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.3pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Versailles EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.06/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.07
-13% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Versailles
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Dijon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2024 Dijon Dijon 2-0 HT 2-0 Versailles Versailles FR3
05.04.2024 Versailles Versailles 2-0 HT 1-0 Dijon Dijon FR3
03.11.2023 Dijon Dijon 2-1 HT 0-0 Versailles Versailles FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Versailles
2-3
AWAY Dijon
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Versailles vs Dijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon edged past Versailles 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 35% — and on the day Dijon made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Versailles had 44% of the ball to Dijon's 56%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dijon led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Versailles and 1.33 for Dijon.

What was the final score of Versailles vs Dijon?

Versailles 2-3 Dijon in the France - National League 1 on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Versailles vs Dijon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dijon win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Versailles 32%, draw 33%, Dijon 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dijon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
11 Apr 2025
20:30 Nancy vs Chateauroux Analysis →
20:30 Valenciennes vs Quevilly Analysis →
20:30 Concarneau vs Boulogne Analysis →
20:30 Villefranche vs Sochaux Analysis →
20:30 Aubagne vs Paris 13 Atletico Analysis →
20:30 Orleans vs Le Mans FC Analysis →